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Welcome to the web site of The Purple Muse. We offer commentary
and opinion on the major issues being debated in our world today.
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Saturday, July 30, 2011
End of the Post World War II Era Updated
Check out the updated version of my article, End of the Post World War II Era, http://www.thepurplemuse.com/id30.html.
Everyone should understand how the US got into a rancorous national debate over the national debt, deficits and the debt
ceiling.
TPM
1:47 pm
Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Upated Spin, Lies, Conspiracy and Truth
I have just updated my article, Spin, Lies, Conspiracy and Truth, after reading Christopher Hitchens
book, "god is not Great - How Religion Poisons Everything". If you have any interest in the impact of religions
on the history of the world and the thinking of people, you should read Hitchens book. Are religions good or evil?
Make your own decision after reading Hitchens book.
TPM
9:29 am
Friday, July 22, 2011
Who Do You Trust? Gold, or No Gold!
Have you ever had a conversation with someone concerning gold? Did you ever have
a debate with someone over the value of gold versus stocks or currency?
I know that investing in gold and precious metals is very controversial in many circles. My fundamental belief
is that gold is real money at all times. This has been demonstrated over thousands of years. Every
fiat currency or paper money in history has eventually been debased in value over a long period of time.
In times of excess fiat money creation silver becomes a precious metal and money in addition to being an industrial
metal. I am providing links to some of my work that is posted on this site and other sources.
I suggest you read my material and think this issue through for yourselves. Even good friends can disagree on a
controversial topic like gold.
Redistribution
of Wealth - My article that explains the fundamental societal changes being advocated by liberal/progressives in our nation
that are driving the value of gold. http://www.thepurplemuse.com/id46.html
Please note
the 100 year Dow Jones to Gold ratio chart, http://blogs.reuters.com/rolfe-winkler/files/2009/11/dow-vs-gold.jpg. This chart shows the very long term emotional cycles of the markets in relation to one another. Many
of us were adults in 1982, the last time the Dow and Gold had an equal value. If you look at the current downtrend one
must ask the question, "Will this ratio hit 1:1 or 2:1 again in the years ahead?" I believe the
answer is almost certainly yes. I believe or nation will not change direction until we reach this critical value.
It will take a number of years to get there but we will get there. The current ratio is about 7.8. I believe
gold at $1,600 will look very cheap in US dollar terms when the bottom of the chart is reached. The articles above
describe the environmental factors that I believe will drive the trend to the bottom of the chart. The short term
nonsense that is the normal subject matter of business TV doesn't come close to getting to the broad perspective needed to
address very long term investing.
Gold is currently in one the greatest bull markets in the modern history of markets.
Very few US citizens have participated in the bull market. Here is a 15 year chart of the price of gold, http://www.kitco.com/scripts/hist_charts/yearly_graphs.plx. One can invest in gold (and silver) in many ways including physical gold bars, physical gold coins, mining
company common stocks, exchange traded funds of common stocks, precious metals mutual funds of common stocks, exchange
traded funds representing a large inventory of gold bars and many other investing approaches that have
unique levels of risk and requirements for investment management attention. Gold is more typically volatile
than most common stocks.
Gold is real money. Gold is the enemy of central banks and governments because it can't be reproduced at
will on a printing press like fiat money. It is very hard to manipulate gold for any period of time. Gold is a
universal currency that can be exchanged for goods and services anywhere in the world. It is a permanent store of value.
Would
you rather put $1,600 worth of US currency in an envelope today and keep it safe for your child or grandchild for the
next thirty years. Or would you rather buy a one ounce US gold coin, Canadian Maple Leaf or other gold coin produced
in many mints around the world. Which of the two options has the best chance of conveying real purchasing power to your
loved one after three decades? Do you trust thousands of years of historical fact concerning the enduring
value of gold or the promises of the US Federal Reserve and other central banks or the US government and other national
governments?
Who
do you trust? Gold, or no gold! It is up to each of us to decide how to deal with this question.
TPM
9:16 pm
Sunday, July 17, 2011
Labor Competition
I love it when I hear many political types discussing the problem of the stagnation or decline
in the average US standard of living in recent years. Anyone that doesn't understand what has happened and is happening
has their head in the sand. It is hard to listen to political types complain when they worked for decades to create
global competition. The US got what it wanted, like it or not.
The global market for goods and services has
exploded in recent decades. US workers are competing against foreign labor making a fraction of the hourly rate paid
in the US. Businesses have the option to source goods and service from virtually any source. Unskilled and semiskilled
labor in the US must compete with foreign labor willing to work much more cheaply. There is no future path for unskilled
and semiskilled labor to ever live a middle class life or better. The global labor market will force them to live a
lower middle class life style.
Everyone that competes in the global labor market must understand the new reality.
Skills must be developed. Education must be obtained and used. There is no longer an easy path to success.
Real work must begin during the education process. US youth needs to get a good understanding at a very early age that
they must work hard to succeed. If they don't work hard it will be very tough for them to succeed.
Labor
competition is a driving force behind much of the world economy. If you don't want to compete you lose.
If you can't compete you lose. If you work hard and compete harder you have an opportunity to win.
The US
government needs to get its act together and explain this fact of life to the people. We can't spend trillions of dollars
subsidizing people that won't prepare themselves to compete. We need a safety net for those that can't compete for some
reason that is no fault of their own. It is time for US citizens to learn the entire truth about labor competition.
TPM
9:21 pm
Monday, July 4, 2011
Leadership - A Trait Not Found in Washington
I find it remarkable that our national government has made no progress in resolving our nation's fiscal problems
during the past few months. President Obama has delegated to VP Biden the leadership role in the most important issue
of his administration. Our nation's future will be determined by the approach our leaders take to resolving or not resolving
our fiscal issues. If our elected leaders will not act, the world financial markets will determine our collective fate.
The world financial market has many, many effective leaders that will vote and provide direction to the financial markets using
their collective wealth and the wealth of their clients or citizens.
On July 4, 2011 it is very unfortunate
that our nation is celebrating our Independence Day at a time where our leaders appear willing to concede control of our national
destiny to the world's financial markets. I find the entire situation a national disgrace.
There is
no doubt that George Bush, his Republican Congress and his administration created many of the problems that we have endured
during the past few years. However, President Obama, his Democratic Congress (now only the Senate) and his administration
have greatly compounded our problems. Our President's primary focus appears to be his reelection campaign, not the welfare
and future of the citizens of the US. Obama's purposeful failure to do his job will become one of history's greatest
lessons of political leadership failure in the future.
I hope that our nation is inherently stronger than
its leaders have been for the past decades. We will reach the negative climax of this period in the years ahead.
It is not apparent today how much damage will be have been done to our nation before we reach the climax.
It will be an extremely difficult task to rebuild our nation once we have reached bottom. Hopefully, our future political
leaders will be much stronger leaders and more committed to the conduct of their business than our recent leaders.
Enjoy your July 4 and think about how our nation is giving away our independence every day by building up greater and greater
debt levels. We need to change direction as soon as we possibly can. It is time to restructure our government
and move forward. It will be a painful process. There is no way out of our fiscal problems without substantial
pain. Those looking for a pain free approach will never find one. There is no other solution other than to bear
the pain until we have worked our way out of our problems.
TPM
8:08 pm
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