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The Purple Muse

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Welcome to the web site of The Purple Muse.  We offer commentary and opinion on the major issues being debated in our world today.

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Saturday, July 30, 2011

End of the Post World War II Era Updated

Check out the updated version of my article, End of the Post World War II Era, http://www.thepurplemuse.com/id30.html.  Everyone should understand how the US got into a rancorous national debate over the national debt, deficits and the debt ceiling.

TPM
1:47 pm          Comments

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

Upated Spin, Lies, Conspiracy and Truth

I have just updated my article, Spin, Lies, Conspiracy and Truth, after reading Christopher Hitchens book, "god is not Great - How Religion Poisons Everything".  If you have any interest in the impact of religions on the history of the world and the thinking of people, you should read Hitchens book.  Are religions good or evil?  Make your own decision after reading Hitchens book.

TPM
9:29 am          Comments

Friday, July 22, 2011

Who Do You Trust? Gold, or No Gold!

Have you ever had a conversation with someone concerning gold?  Did you ever have a debate with someone over the value of gold versus stocks or currency?

I know that investing in gold and precious metals is very controversial in many circles.  My fundamental belief is that gold is real money at all times.  This has been demonstrated over thousands of years.  Every fiat currency or paper money in history has eventually been debased in value over a long period of time.  In times of excess fiat money creation silver becomes a precious metal and money in addition to being an industrial metal.  I am providing links to some of my work that is posted on this
site and other sources.  I suggest you read my material and think this issue through for yourselves.  Even good friends can disagree on a controversial topic like gold.

Fiat Money - It is imperative that everyone understand that the US dollar as currently constructed is Fiat Money.  Here is my article on Fiat Money - http://www.relaxedfitezine.com/m.news/45/fiat-money

End of the Post World War II Era - My article on the environment that has been created that caused the current problems. http://www.thepurplemuse.com/id30.html

Redistribution of Wealth - My article that explains the fundamental societal changes being advocated by liberal/progressives in our nation that are driving the value of gold. http://www.thepurplemuse.com/id46.html

Please note the 100 year Dow Jones to Gold ratio chart, http://blogs.reuters.com/rolfe-winkler/files/2009/11/dow-vs-gold.jpg.  This chart shows the very long term emotional cycles of the markets in relation to one another.  Many of us were adults in 1982, the last time the Dow and Gold had an equal value.  If you look at the current downtrend one must ask the question, "Will this ratio hit 1:1 or 2:1 again in the years ahead?"  I believe the answer is almost certainly yes.  I believe or nation will not change direction until we reach this critical value.  It will take a number of years to get there but we will get there.  The current ratio is about 7.8.  I believe gold at $1,600 will look very cheap in US dollar terms when the bottom of the chart is reached.  The articles above describe the environmental factors that I believe will drive the trend to the bottom of the chart.  The short term nonsense that is the normal subject matter of business TV doesn't come close to getting to the broad perspective needed to address very long term investing.

Gold is currently in one the greatest bull markets in the modern history of markets.  Very few US citizens have participated in the bull market.  Here is a 15 year chart of the price of gold, http://www.kitco.com/scripts/hist_charts/yearly_graphs.plx.  One can invest in gold (and silver) in many ways including physical gold bars, physical gold coins, mining company common stocks, exchange traded funds of common stocks, precious metals mutual funds of common stocks, exchange traded funds representing a large inventory of gold bars and many other investing approaches that have unique levels of risk and requirements for investment management attention.  Gold is more typically volatile than most common stocks.

Gold is real money. Gold is the enemy of central banks and governments because it can't be reproduced at will on a printing press like fiat money.  It is very hard to manipulate gold for any period of time.  Gold is a universal currency that can be exchanged for goods and services anywhere in the world.  It is a permanent store of value.

Would you rather put $1,600 worth of US currency in an envelope today and keep it safe for your child or grandchild for the next thirty years.  Or would you rather buy a one ounce US gold coin, Canadian Maple Leaf or other gold coin produced in many mints around the world.  Which of the two options has the best chance of conveying real purchasing power to your loved one after three decades?  Do you trust thousands of years of historical fact concerning the enduring value of gold or the promises of the US Federal Reserve and other central banks or the US government and other national governments?

Who do you trust? Gold, or no gold!  It is up to each of us to decide how to deal with this question.

TPM
9:16 pm          Comments

Sunday, July 17, 2011

Labor Competition

I love it when I hear many political types discussing the problem of the stagnation or decline in the average US standard of living in recent years.  Anyone that doesn't understand what has happened and is happening has their head in the sand.  It is hard to listen to political types complain when they worked for decades to create global competition.  The US got what it wanted, like it or not.

The global market for goods and services has exploded in recent decades.  US workers are competing against foreign labor making a fraction of the hourly rate paid in the US.  Businesses have the option to source goods and service from virtually any source.  Unskilled and semiskilled labor in the US must compete with foreign labor willing to work much more cheaply.  There is no future path for unskilled and semiskilled labor to ever live a middle class life or better.  The global labor market will force them to live a lower middle class life style.

Everyone that competes in the global labor market must understand the new reality.  Skills must be developed.  Education must be obtained and used.  There is no longer an easy path to success.  Real work must begin during the education process.  US youth needs to get a good understanding at a very early age that they must work hard to succeed.  If they don't work hard it will be very tough for them to succeed.

Labor competition is a driving force behind much of the world economy.  If you don't want to compete you lose.  If you can't compete you lose.  If you work hard and compete harder you have an opportunity to win.

The US government needs to get its act together and explain this fact of life to the people.  We can't spend trillions of dollars subsidizing people that won't prepare themselves to compete.  We need a safety net for those that can't compete for some reason that is no fault of their own.   It is time for US citizens to learn the entire truth about labor competition.

TPM
9:21 pm          Comments

Monday, July 4, 2011

Leadership - A Trait Not Found in Washington

I find it remarkable that our national government has made no progress in resolving our nation's fiscal problems during the past few months.  President Obama has delegated to VP Biden the leadership role in the most important issue of his administration.  Our nation's future will be determined by the approach our leaders take to resolving or not resolving our fiscal issues.  If our elected leaders will not act, the world financial markets will determine our collective fate.  The world financial market has many, many effective leaders that will vote and provide direction to the financial markets using their collective wealth and the wealth of their clients or citizens. 

On July 4, 2011 it is very unfortunate that our nation is celebrating our Independence Day at a time where our leaders appear willing to concede control of our national destiny to the world's financial markets.  I find the entire situation a national disgrace. 

There is no doubt that George Bush, his Republican Congress and his administration created many of the problems that we have endured during the past few years.  However, President Obama, his Democratic Congress (now only the Senate) and his administration have greatly compounded our problems.  Our President's primary focus appears to be his reelection campaign, not the welfare and future of the citizens of the US.   Obama's purposeful failure to do his job will become one of history's greatest lessons of political leadership failure in the future. 

I hope that our nation is inherently stronger than its leaders have been for the past decades.  We will reach the negative climax of this period in the years ahead.  It is not apparent today how much damage will be have been done to our nation before we reach the climax.  It will be an extremely difficult task to rebuild our nation once we have reached bottom.  Hopefully, our future political leaders will be much stronger leaders and more committed to the conduct of their business than our recent leaders.

Enjoy your July 4 and think about how our nation is giving away our independence every day by building up greater and greater debt levels.  We need to change direction as soon as we possibly can.  It is time to restructure our government and move forward.  It will be a painful process.  There is no way out of our fiscal problems without substantial pain.  Those looking for a pain free approach will never find one.  There is no other solution other than to bear the pain until we have worked our way out of our problems.

TPM
8:08 pm          Comments


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Our world is not Red, Blue, Black or White.  It is many shades of Purple.  We search for common ground as the colors of our world combine in different patterns.

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Road Trip 2017

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The Middle East Conflict

Rights vs Privileges

End of the Post World War II Era

"The Great Deformation"

"Currency Wars"

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