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Sunday, January 22, 2012

"Currency Wars"

Check my new review of James Rickards new book, Currency Wars - The Making of the Next Global Crisis, http://www.thepurplemuse.com/id48.html

Currency Wars
is one of the most important business books written in the past few years.  I ecourage everyone that cares about the future of the US to read Currency Wars.

TPM

1:46 am          Comments

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Is the US Ready to Compete?

Every day I watch debates between politicians, political commentators and the general media about who is responsible for the loss of jobs during the past few years and what leaders best suited to create more jobs in the USA.  Everybody wants to compare their job creation records or lay blame on someone in the US for the job loss.  Nobody addresses in depth the real issue that is the primary cause of the job loss.

A confluence of factors that occurred about 20 years ago opened global markets and trade for significant expansion.   Low cost labor pools and business friendly government policies in many countries created the opportunity for new businesses to be created and for existing businesses to be relocated from high cost to low cost areas of the world.  These events occurred at a time when the US was becoming less business friendly.   Federal and state regulations began to materially impact the ability of many companies to compete in their markets.  California, once the premier growth state in the US, became one of the most difficult states to start and operate a business.  Businesses fled from California to escape the gross overreaching policies of the California state government.  The economic/business competition (battle?) between nations accelerated dramatically.   The impact on many US unskilled and semiskilled workers was significant.  The companies they worked for could no longer compete.  Their companies went out of business or moved their operations to some other country.

As the US chugs forward in a low growth environment and builds up a huge federal government debt, the people must face up to the big question. Is the US ready to really compete again in the global market?  The only reason the US unemployment rate is only about 8.5 percent is that the US government is running a $1T plus annual deficit.  The jobless rate doesn't include a large number of people that are underemployed or have dropped out of the work force.  If the deficit was zero the US unemployment rate would be much higher.  We are sustaining hundreds of thousands of  jobs in an uncompetitive economy by taking on debt at the federal level and printing fiat money at the Federal Reserve.  The US has failed to address the big issue of global competition.

If the US wants to restore its global competitiveness, it must fundamentally change the cost structure for businesses.  This means changing tax policy, work rules, environmental policy strategy, and employee compensation standards.  The social safety net must be substantially reduced in order to incentivize people to work in a globally competitive environment.  Liberal progressives will rebel at these ideas.   However, there is no other approach that works.  The high cost, difficult working environment countries like the US will not be able to maintain low unemployment rates if they can't compete effectively in the world market.  

The US needs a massive change in attitude towards competing in global markets.  Will we step up and do it?

TPM



11:34 pm          Comments

Monday, January 2, 2012

Washington Post Business Section - January 1, 2012

It is not often that I am impressed by what I read about financial and business issues in newspapers.  However, The Washington Post delivered an extremely valuable trio of articles on the front page of its business section this morning.  All of the articles are also available at www.washingtonpost.com.   I congratulate the Post and the authors on a job well done to kick off 2012.  I hope some of other members of the "mainstream media" read these three articles and get a dose of reality regarding the future of the US economy.

Neil Irwin's feature article, "That was a bust. Could 2012 be better?' is a terrific article on the overall economy.  Check it out at http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2011-was-a-bust--could-2012-be-better/2011/12/26/gIQALpZeQP_story.html.

Steven Pearlstein's article, "Last stop for the federal gravy train" discusses the likely end of a 20 year accelerated economic growth period for the Washington DC metro area due to the likely end of excessive government spending.  Check out this article, http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/as-federal-gravy-train-ends-for-dc-areas-economy-its-time-to-plan-ahead/2011/12/28/gIQAtPPvSP_story.html

Allan Sloan discusses the difficulties of investing in the current economic environment in his article, "When even the safe bets are risky".  Mr. Sloan's article is avaiable at http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/allan-sloan-where-should-you-put-your-money-these-days-thats-a-tough-one/2011/12/28/gIQAVJozSP_story.html

I highly recommend reading these three articles.  They aren't the best news in the world but they are truthful and deal with the realities we face as individuals and as a nation.  2012 will be a great year if all of our media can be as truthful as the authors of these articles.  Thanks again to The Washington Post Business to a good start for 2012.

TPM
12:18 am          Comments


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Our world is not Red, Blue, Black or White.  It is many shades of Purple.  We search for common ground as the colors of our world combine in different patterns.

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The Middle East Conflict

Rights vs Privileges

End of the Post World War II Era

"The Great Deformation"

"Currency Wars"

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